Gold prices have seen considerable
fluctuations in recent times. Actually, there are many reasons for the
fluctuations in gold prices but there are two main reasons for this. In this,
if any emergency situation arises, then prices start rising. For example, gold
prices in COVID-19 pandemic are at record levels. The reason for this is that
gold is always considered a safe asset. Second, if everything is correct, then
its prices are normal. This is seen before 2019. There are five reasons which
have more impact on gold prices. Gold has been an important part of the
cultural needs of Indian customers in a family or religious festive atmosphere
in the country. Gold has always been a favourite as a physical asset. There are six
reasons for this.
Economic uncertainty: When a crisis triggers an economic crisis, it usually affects the equity
market, global trade and the financial ecosystem. Market volatility is created
due to fluctuations in supply and demand. This uncertainty forces investors to
diversify their investment portfolios. Because they want to protect their
finances. In such a situation, people like gold the most. Likewise, the current
COVID-19 crisis has caused economic havoc across the world. The price of gold
in the country increased by more than 11 per cent in April itself. Gold prices
had risen from Rs 37,000 to Rs 54,000 per ten grams in a period of 6 months.
Rising Income:
The Indian economy has grown by leaps and bounds in the last few decades. This
has increased the income of the middle class. This has also increased their
spending power. Since India is one of the largest customers of gold, the
purchase of gold has also increased due to increasing income. With rising
income, people want to invest in and buy gold asset class. According to the
recent World Gold Council, if there is a slight increase in income, then the
price of gold starts increasing because people want to protect the increased
income.
Inflation: To
counter the economic downturn, governments often announce multi-billion dollar
stimulus packages to increase liquidity in the economy. This makes people spend
extra. However, many people secure their finances through investment in gold.
Trends in the last two decades suggest that gold prices have risen after the
global economic crisis. Apart from this, it has also been shown that gold also
prevents inflation. Because scared investors often curb the effects of
inflation through investments in gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), sovereign
bonds and the asset class of gold in general.
Government policies: Government decisions affect the price rise in gold prominently. When the
Reserve Bank announces its interest rates and fiscal policy, sovereign bonds,
etc., it has many effects on the market, which can move prices up or down. For
example, in times of crisis the financial bailout package, the tax policy on the property, and other policy decisions are entirely the governments. Such
decisions are often taken in view of the economic crisis.
Population and Demographics: Demographic dividend of India is often talked about as a
dividend and is described as a boon for the country. With the belief that it
can help create growth opportunities. More than 50% of our total population is
under 40 years of age. Institutions expect changes in the spending patterns of
Millennials and young professionals. The expectation is that they will invest
in the asset class of gold rather than whether they will buy it as a physical
asset or in some other way.
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