The outbreak of coronavirus is
engulfing the whole world. Till now it has spread to 175 countries. Due to the
possibility of slowing down of the world economy, not only oil prices, but also
the world stock market has seen ups and downs with a heavy downpour. NSE's Nifty
index is down 31.85% in a month. On February 19, it stood at 12,125.90. By
March 19, it has fallen by 3,862.45 points to 8,263.45. The price of Brent
crude has fallen by 52.52% in the last one month between the price war broke
out in Saudi Arabia and Russia. On February 19, it was $ 58.72 per barrel. On
March 19, it came down to $ 27.88. Coronavirus infection may have more than an
impact on the world economy. Many countries have imposed travel restrictions.
As far as the stock markets are
concerned, the volatility in the short term may persist for the next few weeks.
One concern is that if the situation does not improve soon, the current
recession may last for a long time. However, to speed up economic activity,
central banks of various countries have announced an aggressive cut in interest
rates. But it will not have as much effective effect as is needed in the short
term. The reason is that until the fear of coronavirus is not completely
eliminated, the demand for products will remain weak. There are very few cases
of coronavirus reported in India right now. Precautionary measures taken to
prevent its outbreak have affected demand in some areas like airlines, tourism
sector.
One of the concerns of the market is
that there is a huge debt on companies and the condition of banks lending to
them is weak due to NPA. The issue has once again raised the way the scheme was
introduced to save Yes Bank. What steps the government and the Reserve Bank
take to re-establish trust in the credit market will play an important role in
stabilizing the market sentiment.
Short to medium term stock markets
may remain volatile, but in the long term, there will not be that much
volatility as far as industry is concerned. Yes, their activities may fluctuate
for a quarter or two while dealing with the current challenges. One should keep the distance from the current selling in the stock market. This decline in the
market should be seen as an opportunity to buy good stocks at a lower price.
One should invest with a target of at least three to five years. Investment
should be done on a regular basis in a period of three to six months. Don't do
all the buying together, invest in a few shares and buy at a few intervals.
Good information, Very nice. Thanks for the useful article.
ReplyDeleteDr. Datsons Labs
SBI Card IPO
Equitas SFB IPO
BHIM UIP