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Due to coronavirus (COVID-19)
infection, the growth rate in the Asia region in the calendar year 2020 will be
0%. This growth rate is the lowest since 1960. This estimate has been made by
the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In a virtual press conference on
Wednesday night, Changyong Rhee, director of the Asia and Pacific Department of
the IMF, said that such a crisis has never happened before. It is worse than
the global financial crisis and Asian countries have nowhere to go about it.
Rhee said that the growth rate in the
region in 2020 is likely to be the worst in 60 years. The region has grown at a
growth rate of 4.7 per cent during the global financial crisis and 1.3 per cent
during the ASEAN financial crisis. However, he said that Asia has better
conditions than other areas in terms of the Act. The new World Economic Outlook
released on Thursday by the IMF predicts the global economy to shrink sharply
to 3 per cent in 2020. The World Economic Outlook states that the advanced
economy will shrink by 6.1 per cent while emerging markets and emerging
economies will shrink by 1 per cent.
Despite negative growth globally, the
IMF expects growth of 1 per cent in the emerging and developing countries of
Asia in 2020. The IMF has said that China will grow at a moderate rate of 1.2
per cent this year and India at 1.9 per cent. Rhee said the rapid growth forecast
in 2021 is full of uncertainty. Rhee said that rapid growth in Asia is expected
if Corona infection prevention measures work and concrete policies are made
with incentive packages to reduce the fear of corona. This growth may be much
greater than the global financial crisis.
Britain's major bank Barclays has
projected India's GDP growth to be zero per cent in the calendar year 2020.
Earlier, Barclays Bank had projected GDP growth to be 2.5 per cent in 2020. Let
us tell you that the central government has extended the lockdown once again
till May 3 to prevent the corona infection. A research note issued by Barclays
on Tuesday said that this lockdown will have a more negative impact on the
mining, agriculture, manufacturing and utility sectors than we expected.
According to Barclays, this economic loss would be equivalent to $ 234.4
billion (about Rs 17 lakh crore) or 8.1 per cent of GDP. This is more than the
$ 120 billion loss estimate Barclays reported last time.
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